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How We Estimate

The rules behind every number on DumpsterEstimator: where the data comes from, how we combine it, and what we refuse to do.

Our rules

  • Every number has a source we opened. Each constant in our calculators links to a published document, listed below with the date we checked it.
  • Prices are cross-checked. We compare at least two current cost sources for every size and show them side by side, so you can see where they disagree.
  • We show ranges, not false precision. Dumpster prices vary by city, hauler and season. A range is more honest than a single number.
  • We don’t publish what we can’t verify. Concrete and dirt waited until we had in-place densities from primary sources (state DOT design manuals and USDA NRCS soil data) instead of loose hauling factors.
  • No fake trust signals. We don’t display ratings, review counts or “trusted by” claims, and we don’t claim data from customers we don’t have.
  • Our estimates stay independent. Our team takes calls about dumpster rentals, but the calculators never use our own prices: every number comes from the published sources below.

Sizes, allowances and prices

SizeL × W × HPickup loadsIncluded weight (default)Price range we use
10 yd12–14 × 8 × 3.5 ft31 t (range 1–3)$250–$586 (market high $1,307)
15 yd16 × — × 4.5 ft—2 t (range 2–3)$306–$609 (market high $1,334)
20 yd22 × 8 × 4–4.5 ft61.5 t (range 1.5–4)$275–$679 (market high $1,362)
30 yd22 × 8 × 6 ft92.15 t (range 2.15–5)$300–$809 (market high $1,460)
40 yd22 × 8 × 8 ft122.75 t (range 2.75–6)$350–$906 (market high $1,613)

The default included weight is the lowest allowance we found for each size, so our overage estimates lean cautious. The price range runs from the lowest published price (Fixr, or Dumpsters.com for the 15-yard) to Dumpsters.com’s October 2026 average. “Market high” is the top of Dumpsters.com’s published range.

Fees

FeeRangeDefault
Overage per ton$40–$100$75
Extra day$5–$15$10
Street permit$10–$100not added automatically

Material weights

All material weights are the U.S. EPA’s volume-to-weight conversion factors (April 2016), which compile state waste-characterization studies. They describe loose debris as hauled.

Materiallb per cubic yardEPA table row
Household junk & furniture (mixed)250–300Mixed MSW, uncompacted: 250–300 lb/yd³
Mixed renovation / construction debris417–484C&D remainder/composite 417; C&D bulk 484 lb/yd³
Asphalt shingles (roofing tear-off)731Composition roofing: 731 lb/yd³
Drywall / gypsum board467Gypsum board: 467 lb/yd³
Lumber & wood (deck boards, framing)169Clean dimensional lumber: 169 lb/yd³
Engineered wood (cabinets, particleboard)268Clean engineered wood: 268 lb/yd³
Yard waste (mixed, loose)250Mixed yard waste, uncompacted: 250 lb/yd³
Branches & stumps127Branches & stumps: 127 lb/yd³
Leaves250–500Leaves: 250–500 lb/yd³
Carpet147Carpet: 147 lb/yd³
Carpet padding62Carpet padding: 62 lb/yd³
Scrap metal (mixed)143–225Composite metal 143; other ferrous 225 lb/yd³

Heavy debris (concrete, asphalt, soil)

The concrete & dirt calculator starts from measured, in-place volume, so it uses in-place densities, never the EPA’s loose factors. Soil is NRCS dry bulk density plus water (25.9% by default, NRCS’s worked example), with water capped at the pore space (1 − bulk density ÷ 2.65). Heavy-debris containers default to the 10-ton limit Dumpsters.com and Budget Dumpster publish for a 10-yard.

MaterialIn-place densityBasis
Plain concrete (patio, sidewalk, footing)145–150 lb/ft³145 pcf unreinforced (CDOT, per AASHTO Table 3.5.1-1); 150 pcf plain concrete (WSDOT)
Reinforced concrete (rebar or mesh)150–155 lb/ft³150 pcf reinforced cast-in-place (CDOT); 155 pcf dead load with reinforcement (WSDOT)
Asphalt paving146.67 lb/ft³146.67 lb/ft³ asphalt unit weight (CDOT)
Soil, not sure / mixed1.10–1.80 g/cm³ dry (1,854–3,034 lb/yd³)USDA NRCS bulk density thresholds by texture
Soil, sandy1.60–1.80 g/cm³ dry (2,697–3,034 lb/yd³)USDA NRCS bulk density thresholds by texture
Soil, silty / loam1.40–1.65 g/cm³ dry (2,360–2,781 lb/yd³)USDA NRCS bulk density thresholds by texture
Soil, clayey1.10–1.47 g/cm³ dry (1,854–2,478 lb/yd³)USDA NRCS bulk density thresholds by texture

Volume conventions

  • 1 cubic yard = 27 cubic feet.
  • 1 full-size pickup load ≈ 3.33 cubic yards (HomeGuide: 10 yd ≈ 3 loads, 20 yd ≈ 6, 30 yd ≈ 9, 40 yd ≈ 12).
  • We size containers so debris fills about 85%. That’s our planning margin, not a hauler rule.

All sources

Corrections

If a number looks wrong, or a source has changed, please tell us. We re-check prices at least every quarter and date every review.

Last reviewed: October 2026.